Gimcheon Sangmu 3-2 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.36
2-3 Goals
37%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.37
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
15%
4.79
X/2
9%
8.19
X/X
10%
6.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.55
2/2
11%
5.38
2/X
7%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.55 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.9pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
2.29/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.97
-7% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
20.8 Crosses 14.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Suwon City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
312 Passes 398
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
12.04.2025 Suwon City Suwon City 3-2 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
02.11.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
21.09.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 2-4 HT 1-2 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
09.07.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-3 HT 0-2 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
30.03.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-4 HT 0-3 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
3-2
AWAY Suwon City
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
447 Passes 232
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu edged past Suwon City 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gimcheon Sangmu as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 63% of the ball to Suwon City's 37%, shots finished 15-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.67 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon City?

Gimcheon Sangmu 3-2 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 50%, draw 22%, Suwon City 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
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