Hegelmann Litauen 3-1 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.7pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 54%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+27% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
2W-0D-2L
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 4-1 HT 2-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LITA
19.10.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 3-2 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
24.04.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 1-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
03.03.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-3 HT 1-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
3-1
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen beat TransINVEST Vilnius 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was TransINVEST Vilnius at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 50% of the ball to TransINVEST Vilnius's 50%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 2.00 for TransINVEST Vilnius.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Hegelmann Litauen 3-1 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 32%, draw 21%, TransINVEST Vilnius 47%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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