Melgar vs Cusco FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Melgar v Cusco FC — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Cusco FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Melgar 1-3 Cusco FC — Actual Match Statistics
Cusco FC got the better of Melgar 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Melgar at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 53%.
The match data tells the story: Melgar had 63% of the ball to Cusco FC's 37%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.55 to 1.34.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Melgar and 1.17 for Cusco FC.
Melgar vs Cusco FC Result & Final Score
Melgar 1 - 3 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Melgar vs Cusco FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Melgar 49%, draw 27%, Cusco FC 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melgar), Under 2.5 went the other way.