Moreirense 0-1 Sporting Braga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.34
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
64%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 28% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
10.6
1/2
10%
24.8
1/X
6%
19.35
X/1
5%
11.9
X/2
18%
3.76
X/X
10%
5.21
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
35%
1.88
2/X
8%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
16%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
64%
Away Win
61%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 66%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
0.70/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.15
+5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 84%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
12.6 Crosses 20.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Sporting Braga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.14 xG 1.41
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
305 Passes 466
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-1 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
03.02.2025 Moreirense Moreirense 1-2 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
25.08.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 3-1 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
04.02.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-0 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
09.09.2023 Moreirense Moreirense 2-3 HT 2-1 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
10.11.2022 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-1 HT 1-1 Moreirense Moreirense POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
0-1
AWAY Sporting Braga
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
339 Passes 559
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
FAQ Moreirense vs Sporting Braga
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sporting Braga edged past Moreirense 1-0 away from home in the Portugal - Premier League on 4 Apr 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Moreirense had 40% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 60%, shots finished 12-10.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga lead the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Moreirense and 2.17 for Sporting Braga.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Sporting Braga?

Moreirense 0-1 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Sporting Braga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 13%, draw 23%, Sporting Braga 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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