Porto 2-2 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
11%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.43
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.72
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
6%
18.4
X/1
20%
3.69
X/2
4%
14.0
X/X
8%
5.77
2/1
8%
24.35
2/2
4%
12.65
2/X
7%
21.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
66%
+1.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
11%
Away Win
13%
-1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 16%
+8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.89/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.29
+22% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
18.5 Crosses 13.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Famalicao
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.48 xG 1.01
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
423 Passes 223
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.12.2025 Porto Porto 4-1 HT 2-1 Famalicao Famalicao POK
09.11.2025 Famalicao Famalicao 0-1 HT 0-1 Porto Porto POR
18.04.2025 Porto Porto 2-1 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
07.12.2024 Famalicao Famalicao 1-1 HT 1-0 Porto Porto POR
13.04.2024 Porto Porto 2-2 HT 1-2 Famalicao Famalicao POR
02.12.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 0-3 HT 0-2 Porto Porto POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto
2-2
AWAY Famalicao
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
353 Passes 332
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
FAQ Porto vs Famalicao
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Porto and Famalicao shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Portugal - Premier League on 4 Apr 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Porto had 51% of the ball to Famalicao's 49%, shots finished 8-11.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Porto and 0.83 for Famalicao.

What was the final score of Porto vs Famalicao?

Porto 2-2 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Porto 68%, draw 21%, Famalicao 11%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Porto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porto) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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