Porto vs Famalicao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto v Famalicao — Team-Based Signals
Porto vs Famalicao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Porto
POR
2-4
HT 2-2
Porto
POR
Porto 4-1 Famalicao — Actual Match Statistics
Porto ran out comfortable winners over Famalicao 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Porto had 48% of the ball to Famalicao's 52%, shots finished 12-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Porto and 1.00 for Famalicao.
What was the final score of Porto vs Famalicao?
Porto 4-1 Famalicao in the Portugal - Cup on 18/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto vs Famalicao?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Porto 68%, draw 17%, Famalicao 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.