Santa Clara vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Clara v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals
Santa Clara vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Santa Clara
POR
1-2
HT 0-1
Sporting CP
POR
Santa Clara 2-3 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP nicked a narrow win over Santa Clara 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Santa Clara had 45% of the ball to Sporting CP's 55%, shots finished 11-19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santa Clara and 1.67 for Sporting CP.
What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Sporting CP?
Santa Clara 2-3 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Cup on 18/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Sporting CP?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 18%, draw 19%, Sporting CP 63%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.