Porto vs Famalicao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto v Famalicao — Team-Based Signals
Porto vs Famalicao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Porto
POR
2-4
HT 2-2
Porto
POR
3-2
HT 1-1
Famalicao
POK
1-2
HT 1-1
Porto
POK
Porto 2-1 Famalicao — Actual Match Statistics
Porto squeezed past Famalicao 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Porto had 58% of the ball to Famalicao's 42%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.78 to 0.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Porto and 1.33 for Famalicao.
What was the final score of Porto vs Famalicao?
Porto 2-1 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto vs Famalicao?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Porto 55%, draw 25%, Famalicao 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.