Farense vs Boavista Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farense v Boavista — Team-Based Signals
Farense vs Boavista Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Farense
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Farense
POR
3-1
HT 1-1
Boavista
POR
1-2
HT 1-0
Boavista
POR
Farense 0-1 Boavista — Actual Match Statistics
Boavista edged past Farense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Farense at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Farense had 50% of the ball to Boavista's 50%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.09 to 0.52 — on chances, Farense could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Farense and 0.83 for Boavista.
What was the final score of Farense vs Boavista?
Farense 0-1 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farense vs Boavista?
Before kick-off our model rated a Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Farense 46%, draw 27%, Boavista 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Farense) went the other way.