Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
75%
1.28
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.86
Over
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.11
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
25%
3.51
6+
12%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.47
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
4%
26.5
X/1
25%
3.36
X/2
4%
21.15
X/X
7%
6.68
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
3%
21.4
2/X
4%
31.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Zenit St. Petersburg win — 75%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
75%
Home Win
74%
+1.3pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.7pp
9%
Away Win
9%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov The Market 11%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
2.21/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.14
+11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
36.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
22.6 Crosses 10.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.76 xG 0.88
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
561 Passes 247
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
01.12.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-3 HT 1-3 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
20.07.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-4 HT 0-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
30.03.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
31.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
22.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2-1
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.46 xG 0.61
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
404 Passes 365
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg nicked a narrow win over Krylya Sovetov 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 53% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 47%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.46 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 1.00 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krylya Sovetov?

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 75%, draw 16%, Krylya Sovetov 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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