Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-1 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
60%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.73/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.79
-10% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
25.1 Crosses 14.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.79 xG 1.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
394 Passes 157
84% Pass Accuracy 63%
36 Box Touches 18
31 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2025 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-2 HT 0-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
04.05.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-1 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
16.02.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
14.09.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-1 HT 0-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
02.05.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-2 HT 1-2 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
03.04.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1-1
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.43 xG 0.71
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
381 Passes 176
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and Mladost Lucani couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 64% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 36%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.43 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 1.17 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mladost Lucani?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-1 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 62%, draw 22%, Mladost Lucani 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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