Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-1 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.8pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 20%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +19%
1.61/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.90
+12% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
376 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
20.8 Crosses 14.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.66 xG 1.38
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 Passes 172
80% Pass Accuracy 63%
32 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
14.09.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-1 HT 0-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
02.05.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-2 HT 1-2 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
03.04.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
29.10.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 4-1 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
30.10.2022 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1-1
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.53 xG 0.37
65% Ball Possession 35%
27 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 0
395 Passes 184
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 10
45 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and Mladost Lucani couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 65% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 35%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 1.53 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 1.17 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mladost Lucani?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-1 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 51%, draw 25%, Mladost Lucani 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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