IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
1.57/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.30
-19% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
21.7 Crosses 17.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.32 xG 1.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
336 Passes 331
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 1-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
18.08.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-1 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
22.04.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-0 HT 0-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
29.03.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
23.10.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 3-1 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0-1
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
0.83 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 285
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeleznicar Pancevo edged past IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was IMT Novi Beograd at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 52% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 48%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.83 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zeleznicar Pancevo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.40 for Zeleznicar Pancevo.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 47%, draw 25%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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