Novi Pazar 2-1 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 4 May 2025

Novi Pazar
2-1 HT 1-0
FK Partizan
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Serbia - Super League – 2024/2025

Novi Pazar vs FK Partizan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Novi Pazar v FK Partizan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 38%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.42/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.56
+27% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
18.3 Crosses 12.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2

Novi Pazar vs FK Partizan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
0W-0D-6L
AWAY FK Partizan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.04 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
346 Passes 362
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.03.2025 FK Partizan FK Partizan 3-2 HT 2-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
21.10.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-4 HT 2-2 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
07.04.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
06.11.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
08.05.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
13.11.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP

Novi Pazar 2-1 FK Partizan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
2-1
AWAY FK Partizan
1.13 xG 1.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
327 Passes 323
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar nicked a narrow win over FK Partizan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Novi Pazar found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 51% of the ball to FK Partizan's 49%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.13 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Novi Pazar and 2.17 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs FK Partizan?

Novi Pazar 2-1 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 37%, draw 28%, FK Partizan 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✗ Under 2.5
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