Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Borussia Dortmund v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals
Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
0-3
HT 0-0
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
4-3
HT 2-2
Augsburg
AL1
1-1
HT 0-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
2-1
HT 1-1
Augsburg
AL1
3-1
HT 1-1
Augsburg
AL1
Borussia Dortmund 5-1 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund swept aside Augsburg 5-1. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Borussia Dortmund had 60% of the ball to Augsburg's 40%, shots finished 21-22, expected goals 4.40 to 2.60.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.17 for Augsburg.
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg?
Borussia Dortmund 5-1 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 47%, draw 22%, Augsburg 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.