Wolfsburg 3-0 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 4 May 2024

Wolfsburg
3-0 HT 2-0
Darmstadt 98
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt 98 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
26%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.25
X/1
22%
3.64
X/2
9%
14.25
X/X
11%
6.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.0
2/2
11%
10.7
2/X
7%
18.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
71%
-20.2pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.9pp
26%
Away Win
12%
+14.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolfsburg v Darmstadt 98 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
2.13/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.25
-9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
434 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.1 Crosses 12.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt 98 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.64 xG 0.64
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
524 Passes 233
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
18.03.2017 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
22.10.2016 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-1 HT 1-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
19.03.2016 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
24.10.2015 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
17.08.2014 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AFK

Wolfsburg 3-0 Darmstadt 98 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
3-0
AWAY Darmstadt 98
2.19 xG 0.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
455 Passes 384
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg cruised past Darmstadt 98 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wolfsburg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wolfsburg had 53% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 47%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 2.19 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wolfsburg and 0.67 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt 98?

Wolfsburg 3-0 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 51%, draw 23%, Darmstadt 98 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL1 More Germany - Bundesliga
4 May 2024
16:30 Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg Analysis →
16:30 Werder Bremen vs Mönchengladbach Analysis →
16:30 Stuttgart vs Bayern Münih Analysis →
19:30 Köln vs Freiburg Analysis →