Bahlinger SC 3-3 Hoffenheim II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim II EU Bookmakers 62%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -29%
0.94/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.97
-17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.2 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahlinger SC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hoffenheim II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 4-0 HT 0-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
01.04.2023 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 9-1 HT 4-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
17.09.2022 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 2-0 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
17.04.2022 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
26.10.2021 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
13.02.2021 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 0-4 HT 0-2 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahlinger SC
3-3
AWAY Hoffenheim II
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bahlinger SC vs Hoffenheim II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahlinger SC and Hoffenheim II couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Hoffenheim II carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bahlinger SC had 45% of the ball to Hoffenheim II's 55%, shots finished 5-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahlinger SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bahlinger SC and 2.17 for Hoffenheim II.

What was the final score of Bahlinger SC vs Hoffenheim II?

Bahlinger SC 3-3 Hoffenheim II in the Germany - Regional League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahlinger SC vs Hoffenheim II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bahlinger SC 22%, draw 22%, Hoffenheim II 55%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoffenheim II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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