Kilia Kiel 0-2 Teutonia Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
47%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.89
Over 2.5
52%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.5pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.0pp
47%
Away Win
62%
-14.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
31%
+16.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
69%
-16.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.8pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilia Kiel EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 66%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.41/2.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.03
+25% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilia Kiel
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 3-2 HT 2-1 Kilia Kiel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Kilia Kiel vs Teutonia Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teutonia Hamburg beat Kilia Kiel 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Teutonia Hamburg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Kilia Kiel vs Teutonia Hamburg?

Kilia Kiel 0-2 Teutonia Hamburg in the Germany - Regional League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilia Kiel vs Teutonia Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Teutonia Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kilia Kiel 26%, draw 27%, Teutonia Hamburg 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Teutonia Hamburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Teutonia Hamburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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