Adelaide United II 1-1 Adelaide Comets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.6pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Comets EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.69/2.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.49
+8% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Adelaide Comets
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 4-3 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
20.05.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
25.02.2023 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
06.08.2022 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 7-0 HT 4-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
14.05.2022 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 4-2 HT 3-2 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
11.09.2021 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-2 HT 0-2 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide United II vs Adelaide Comets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United II and Adelaide Comets couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Adelaide Comets at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide Comets led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Adelaide United II and 2.83 for Adelaide Comets.

What was the final score of Adelaide United II vs Adelaide Comets?

Adelaide United II 1-1 Adelaide Comets in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United II vs Adelaide Comets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide Comets win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United II 31%, draw 23%, Adelaide Comets 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide Comets), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide Comets) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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