Fremantle City 2-1 Perth Glory II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.17
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.31
No
43%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
72%
-15.2pp
43%
BTTS No
28%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremantle City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory II EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremantle City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Perth Glory II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.02.2024 Fremantle City Fremantle City 2-1 HT 1-1 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II BAGS
POST-MATCH Fremantle City vs Perth Glory II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremantle City squeezed past Perth Glory II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fremantle City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Fremantle City vs Perth Glory II?

Fremantle City 2-1 Perth Glory II in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremantle City vs Perth Glory II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fremantle City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fremantle City 45%, draw 27%, Perth Glory II 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremantle City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fremantle City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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