Stirling Lions 0-1 Perth RedStar FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 May 2024

Stirling Lions
0-1 HT 0-0
Perth RedStar FC
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Stirling Lions vs Perth RedStar FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
50%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
38%
-11.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
51%
Away Win
37%
+13.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stirling Lions v Perth RedStar FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Lions EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth RedStar FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.28/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/1.17
-25% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Stirling Lions vs Perth RedStar FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Lions
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Perth RedStar FC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
09.09.2023 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
17.06.2023 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 2-0 HT 2-0 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC AVUSB
25.03.2023 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
09.07.2022 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 2-1 HT 2-0 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH Stirling Lions vs Perth RedStar FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth RedStar FC nicked a narrow win over Stirling Lions 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Perth RedStar FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stirling Lions had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Stirling Lions and 0.60 for Perth RedStar FC.

What was the final score of Stirling Lions vs Perth RedStar FC?

Stirling Lions 0-1 Perth RedStar FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Lions vs Perth RedStar FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Perth RedStar FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stirling Lions 27%, draw 23%, Perth RedStar FC 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perth RedStar FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Perth RedStar FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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