Valentine Phoenix 2-4 Broadmeadow Magic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.3pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Broadmeadow Magic EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.95/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/1.72
-23% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valentine Phoenix
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Broadmeadow Magic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2023 Broadmeadow Magic Broadmeadow Magic 5-0 HT 2-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
13.05.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-5 HT 0-3 Broadmeadow Magic Broadmeadow Magic AVNPL
03.08.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-2 HT 0-0 Broadmeadow Magic Broadmeadow Magic AVNPL
08.05.2022 Broadmeadow Magic Broadmeadow Magic 4-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
25.04.2021 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-4 HT 0-2 Broadmeadow Magic Broadmeadow Magic AVNPL
12.07.2020 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-5 HT 0-2 Broadmeadow Magic Broadmeadow Magic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Valentine Phoenix vs Broadmeadow Magic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Broadmeadow Magic got the better of Valentine Phoenix 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Broadmeadow Magic as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Broadmeadow Magic led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Valentine Phoenix and 4.17 for Broadmeadow Magic.

What was the final score of Valentine Phoenix vs Broadmeadow Magic?

Valentine Phoenix 2-4 Broadmeadow Magic in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valentine Phoenix vs Broadmeadow Magic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Broadmeadow Magic win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Valentine Phoenix 29%, draw 20%, Broadmeadow Magic 51%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Broadmeadow Magic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Broadmeadow Magic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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