Western Knights 1-1 Bayswater City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.8pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Knights EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayswater City EU Bookmakers 40%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.49/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.90
+46% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Western Knights vs Bayswater City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Knights and Bayswater City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Western Knights vs Bayswater City?

Western Knights 1-1 Bayswater City in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Knights vs Bayswater City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Western Knights 39%, draw 26%, Bayswater City 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Knights), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Knights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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