Muranga All Stars 1-0 Nairobi City Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
42%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.09
No
46%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
38%
-8.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.2pp
42%
Away Win
31%
+10.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.3pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muranga All Stars EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 34%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.56/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.07
-47% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muranga All Stars
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nairobi City Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.12.2024 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 Muranga All Stars Muranga All Stars KEN
POST-MATCH Muranga All Stars vs Nairobi City Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muranga All Stars nicked a narrow win over Nairobi City Stars 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nairobi City Stars at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Muranga All Stars vs Nairobi City Stars?

Muranga All Stars 1-0 Nairobi City Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muranga All Stars vs Nairobi City Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nairobi City Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Muranga All Stars 29%, draw 29%, Nairobi City Stars 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nairobi City Stars), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nairobi City Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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