TransMara Sugar 1-1 Ulinzi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 4 May 2025

TransMara Sugar
1-1 HT 1-1
Ulinzi Stars
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
31%
Draw
34%
-3.1pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

TransMara Sugar v Ulinzi Stars — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.33/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.48
+49% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransMara Sugar
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.01.2025 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar KEN
POST-MATCH TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransMara Sugar and Ulinzi Stars shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

What was the final score of TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?

TransMara Sugar 1-1 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransMara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransMara Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split TransMara Sugar 38%, draw 31%, Ulinzi Stars 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (TransMara Sugar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TransMara Sugar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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