Police vs Kariobangi Sharks Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Police v Kariobangi Sharks — Team-Based Signals
Police vs Kariobangi Sharks Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-1
Kariobangi Sharks
KEN2
1-3
HT 1-1
Police
KEN2
Police 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks — Actual Match Statistics
Police nicked a narrow win over Kariobangi Sharks 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Police as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Police had 42% of the ball to Kariobangi Sharks's 58%, shots finished 6-10.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Police and 1.00 for Kariobangi Sharks.
What was the final score of Police vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Police 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks in the Kenya - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Police vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Police 49%, draw 32%, Kariobangi Sharks 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Police), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.