Mirassol FC 2-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 4 May 2026

Mirassol FC
2-1 HT 2-0
Corinthians
📅04/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Mirassol FC vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.47
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.94
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
16%
5.16
X/2
14%
5.53
X/X
13%
3.51
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
9%
4.37
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+7.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mirassol FC v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 37%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.91/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.32
+80% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
339 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 84%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.2 Crosses 15.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Mirassol FC vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Corinthians
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.63 xG 1.53
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 Passes 369
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2025 Corinthians Corinthians 3-0 HT 1-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1
11.05.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
20.02.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 3-0 HT 2-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
11.02.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 2-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
24.03.2021 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
02.08.2020 Corinthians Corinthians 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU

Mirassol FC 2-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
2-1
AWAY Corinthians
1.02 xG 0.36
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
273 Passes 464
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC nicked a narrow win over Corinthians 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 39% of the ball to Corinthians's 61%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.02 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mirassol FC and 1.83 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Corinthians?

Mirassol FC 2-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 44%, draw 27%, Corinthians 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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