Corinthians 3-0 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 5 Oct 2025

Corinthians
3-0 HT 1-0
Mirassol FC
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Corinthians vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.49
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.85
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
17%
4.51
X/2
8%
7.38
X/X
14%
4.01
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
15%
6.07
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Corinthians v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.39/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.14
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +121%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
24.3 Crosses 20.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Corinthians vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.30 xG 1.61
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
411 Passes 302
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.05.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
20.02.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 3-0 HT 2-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
11.02.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 2-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
24.03.2021 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
02.08.2020 Corinthians Corinthians 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
27.01.2020 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU

Corinthians 3-0 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
3-0
AWAY Mirassol FC
2.14 xG 1.60
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 6
183 Passes 376
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians swept aside Mirassol FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Corinthians had 36% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 64%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 2.14 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Corinthians and 0.67 for Mirassol FC.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Mirassol FC?

Corinthians 3-0 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 44%, draw 27%, Mirassol FC 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Corinthians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
5 Oct 2025
00:30 Internacional vs Botafogo Analysis →
00:30 Fluminense vs Atletico Mineiro Analysis →
00:30 Bragantino vs Gremio Analysis →
22:00 Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Analysis →
22:00 Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria Analysis →