Internacional 2-0 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
23.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.1
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
18%
4.63
X/2
7%
6.48
X/X
6%
4.07
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
14%
5.16
2/X
10%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.59/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.23
-7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.6 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fluminense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 Passes 359
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
07.08.2025 Fluminense Fluminense 1-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BRK
31.07.2025 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 1-2 Fluminense Fluminense BRK
02.06.2025 Internacional Internacional 0-2 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
09.11.2024 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
05.07.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 1-1 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
2-0
AWAY Fluminense
2.37 xG 1.05
33% Ball Possession 67%
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
253 Passes 557
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 13
8 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional saw off Fluminense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Internacional had 33% of the ball to Fluminense's 67%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.37 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Internacional and 1.17 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Fluminense?

Internacional 2-0 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Internacional 46%, draw 24%, Fluminense 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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