Istra 1961 3-1 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
3.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over
50%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
47%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Istra 1961 The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo The Market 30%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.71 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
0.91 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.47
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
336 Passes 297
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2026 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
29.11.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
12.09.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 1-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
28.04.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 1-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
23.02.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
22.11.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-3 HT 1-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
3 - 1
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.20 xG 2.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 12
301 Passes 317
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 26
REVIEW Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Istra 1961 saw off Slaven Belupo 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Istra 1961 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Istra 1961 had 48% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 52%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 1.20 to 2.07 — the balance of chances actually favoured Slaven Belupo.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slaven Belupo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.33 for Slaven Belupo.

Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo Result & Final Score

Istra 1961 3 - 1 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 47%, draw 27%, Slaven Belupo 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Istra 1961), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✓ BTTS Yes
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