Istra 1961 1-1 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
19.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 32% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +15%
1.08/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.20
-8% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
15.5 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 0.91
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
300 Passes 284
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 1-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
28.04.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 1-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
23.02.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
22.11.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-3 HT 1-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
31.08.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
26.04.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 3-0 HT 3-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
1-1
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.08 xG 1.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
386 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 and Slaven Belupo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 55% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 45%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.08 to 1.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.00 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo?

Istra 1961 1-1 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 37%, draw 30%, Slaven Belupo 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Istra 1961), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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