Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Slaven Belupo v Istra 1961 — Team-Based Signals
Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Slaven Belupo 2-1 Istra 1961 — Actual Match Statistics
Slaven Belupo squeezed past Istra 1961 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slaven Belupo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Slaven Belupo had 49% of the ball to Istra 1961's 51%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.45 to 0.90.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.33 for Istra 1961.
What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961?
Slaven Belupo 2-1 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961?
Before kick-off our model rated a Slaven Belupo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 46%, draw 27%, Istra 1961 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slaven Belupo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.