Istra 1961 1-1 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.24/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.07
+10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
16.4 Crosses 19.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.71 xG 0.86
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
254 Passes 335
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
22.11.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-3 HT 1-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
31.08.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
26.04.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 3-0 HT 3-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
16.02.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
05.11.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-0 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
1-1
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.37 xG 0.51
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
470 Passes 221
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 and Slaven Belupo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 65% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 35%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.37 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Istra 1961 and 0.67 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo?

Istra 1961 1-1 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 38%, draw 30%, Slaven Belupo 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Istra 1961), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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