Sibenik 0-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
41%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.9
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
22%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-8.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
41%
Away Win
29%
+11.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
0.98/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.12
-37% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
353 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 75%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.3 Crosses 16.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
3W-0D-3L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.42 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 Passes 231
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
24.11.2024 Sibenik Sibenik 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
30.08.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-1 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
14.04.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 0-4 HT 0-4 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
05.02.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-3 HT 0-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
09.11.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 2-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
0-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.17 xG 0.58
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
342 Passes 186
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sibenik and HNK Gorica fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was HNK Gorica at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Sibenik had 62% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 38%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.17 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sibenik and 1.17 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs HNK Gorica?

Sibenik 0-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated an HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 31%, draw 29%, HNK Gorica 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (HNK Gorica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HNK Gorica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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