Club Guarani 0-1 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.06
No
45%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.4pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.8pp
45%
BTTS No
56%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.31/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.20
+14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 13.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2026 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
21.09.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
13.07.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
27.04.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
16.02.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-2 HT 1-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
30.11.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
0-1
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion squeezed past Club Guarani 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Nacional Asuncion found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Club Guarani had 48% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 52%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Guarani had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Club Guarani and 0.67 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?

Club Guarani 0-1 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 37%, draw 32%, Nacional Asuncion 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Club Guarani), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →