Arsenal Tula 2-2 Rotor Volgograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.54
Over
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
38%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.8pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.3pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotor Volgograd The Market 40%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
0.89/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.96
-24% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Rotor Volgograd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.46 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
302 Passes 218
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2025 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-2 HT 1-2 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
27.04.2025 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-1 HT 1-1 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
29.07.2024 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
16.12.2020 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
07.11.2020 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-1 HT 1-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS
25.04.2014 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
2-2
AWAY Rotor Volgograd
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula and Rotor Volgograd shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rotor Volgograd at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 55% of the ball to Rotor Volgograd's 45%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arsenal Tula and 0.83 for Rotor Volgograd.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?

Arsenal Tula 2-2 Rotor Volgograd in the Russia - FNL on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rotor Volgograd win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 33%, draw 25%, Rotor Volgograd 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rotor Volgograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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