Dalian Zhixing 3-2 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.5
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.67
6+ Goals
10%
7.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.02
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
18%
4.4
X/2
7%
10.3
X/X
13%
6.02
2/1
7%
20.1
2/2
12%
7.49
2/X
5%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
2.07/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.83
-14% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.9 Crosses 20.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dalian Zhixing
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.71 xG 1.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
286 Passes 244
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.03.2026 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 4-1 HT 2-1 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİNSL
19.10.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 0-0 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
11.05.2025 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-2 HT 0-2 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
3-2
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
2.52 xG 1.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
380 Passes 287
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
44 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing squeezed past Wuhan Three Towns 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dalian Zhixing as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 55% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 45%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.52 to 1.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dalian Zhixing's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dalian Zhixing and 2.00 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Dalian Zhixing 3-2 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 50%, draw 24%, Wuhan Three Towns 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Zhixing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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