Beijing Guoan 2-0 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.81
2-3 Goals
41%
2.15
4-5 Goals
24%
2.33
6+ Goals
15%
4.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.05
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.85
X/1
17%
4.81
X/2
9%
9.92
X/X
10%
7.08
2/1
8%
17.65
2/2
9%
6.28
2/X
5%
13.95
Value flag · 1/X at 12.85 — our 11% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.3pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.79/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.28
+1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +58%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
23.7 Crosses 14.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.10 xG 1.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
361 Passes 231
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
31.08.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 6-0 HT 4-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
19.04.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 6-1 HT 2-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
30.06.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-0 HT 2-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
09.03.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-0 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
31.08.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 1-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
2-0
AWAY Shandong Taishan
3.20 xG 0.10
76% Ball Possession 24%
39 Total Shots 3
13 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 0
511 Passes 115
91% Pass Accuracy 63%
59 Box Touches 5
45 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Beijing Guoan beat Shandong Taishan 2-0 in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 4 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was favoured at 61%.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 76% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 24%, shots finished 39-3, expected goals 3.20 to 0.10.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.67 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan?

Beijing Guoan 2-0 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 51%, draw 26%, Shandong Taishan 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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