Liaoning Shenyang 3-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 32% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.06
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
13%
4.92
X/2
7%
6.75
X/X
17%
4.22
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
17%
5.03
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 32%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
1.96/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.00
+45% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
18.4 Crosses 5.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.01 xG 1.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
262 Passes 360
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.03.2026 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİNSL
19.07.2025 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 4-2 HT 4-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
29.03.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 HT 1-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
07.07.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 2-0 HT 0-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
09.03.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
3-1
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
2.83 xG 0.79
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
463 Passes 223
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
42 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang got the better of Chongqing Tongliang Long 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Liaoning Shenyang made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 65% of the ball to Chongqing Tongliang Long's 35%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.83 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chongqing Tongliang Long led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Liaoning Shenyang and 1.20 for Chongqing Tongliang Long.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Liaoning Shenyang 3-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 40%, draw 30%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
4 Jul 2026
14:00 Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Port Analysis →
14:35 Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan Analysis →
14:35 Dalian Zhixing vs Wuhan Three Towns Analysis →
15:00 Tianjin Teda vs Shenzhen FC Analysis →