Qingdao Jonoon 2-1 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.82
1/2
7%
23.95
1/X
6%
12.05
X/1
8%
6.28
X/2
17%
5.77
X/X
15%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
13%
3.34
2/X
5%
11.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
+0.3pp
37%
BTTS No
38%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 43%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.46/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.51
+8% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 83%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
17.7 Crosses 19.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shanghai Port
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.74 xG 3.06
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
227 Passes 430
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2026 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
15.03.2026 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 4-1 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
17.10.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-4 HT 2-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
26.07.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-2 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
09.05.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-1 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
28.03.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-3 HT 3-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
2-1
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.18 xG 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
302 Passes 361
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon edged past Shanghai Port 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Qingdao Jonoon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 46% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 54%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.18 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.83 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Port?

Qingdao Jonoon 2-1 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 37%, draw 26%, Shanghai Port 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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