Sutherland Sharks 3-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.48
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
63%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
-0.1pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.7pp
63%
Away Win
57%
+5.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.5pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 61%
-16% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.06/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.80
-33% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 20.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutherland Sharks
0W-0D-6L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.77 xG 1.63
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
467 Passes 309
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
6 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2026 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 HT 0-1 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
17.08.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-0 HT 2-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
03.05.2025 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-2 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
07.07.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2 HT 0-2 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
30.03.2024 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-7 HT 0-4 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
24.06.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 HT 0-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutherland Sharks squeezed past APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. APIA Leichhardt Tigers carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sutherland Sharks and 3.33 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Sutherland Sharks 3-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Sutherland Sharks 19%, draw 18%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 63%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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