APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 Sutherland Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.59
+8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
267 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses 14.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sutherland Sharks
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.78 xG 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
24 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
342 Passes 395
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.08.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-0 HT 2-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
03.05.2025 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-2 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
07.07.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2 HT 0-2 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
30.03.2024 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-7 HT 0-4 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
24.06.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 HT 0-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
11.03.2023 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-1 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers squeezed past Sutherland Sharks 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 0.33 for Sutherland Sharks.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 Sutherland Sharks in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 57%, draw 20%, Sutherland Sharks 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
21 Mar 2026
05:15 South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions Analysis →
06:30 Clarence Zebras vs Devonport City Analysis →
07:00 Croydon Kings vs West Adelaide Analysis →
07:30 Campbelltown City vs Playford City Patriots Analysis →
07:30 Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions Analysis →
08:45 Glenorchy Knights vs South East United Analysis →