Marupe vs Smiltene Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marupe v Smiltene — Team-Based Signals
Marupe vs Smiltene Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-2
Smiltene
LETK
Marupe nicked a narrow win over Smiltene 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Marupe as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Marupe had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Marupe and 1.40 for Smiltene.
What was the final score of Marupe vs Smiltene?
Marupe 2-1 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marupe vs Smiltene?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Marupe 62%, draw 22%, Smiltene 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marupe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.