Aguilas Doradas 2-2 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.17/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.95
+4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.2 Crosses 14.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 0.90
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 Passes 324
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2025 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
15.11.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
29.04.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2-2
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.25 xG 1.36
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
196 Passes 356
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas and Fortaleza CEIF couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 38% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 62%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 1.25 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.00 for Fortaleza CEIF.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Aguilas Doradas 2-2 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 39%, draw 29%, Fortaleza CEIF 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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