Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Bucaramanga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Atletico Bucaramanga — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Bucaramanga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
KOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 1-3 Atletico Bucaramanga — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Bucaramanga saw off Alianza Petrolera 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Alianza Petrolera at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 60% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 40%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.17 to 1.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.67 for Atletico Bucaramanga.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
Alianza Petrolera 1-3 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 46%, draw 27%, Atletico Bucaramanga 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.