Ipswich Town 1-0 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Aug 2026

📅04/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
9%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 26% vs market 19.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.47
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
15%
4.7
X/2
13%
8.22
X/X
11%
5.32
2/1
12%
22.05
2/2
8%
5.89
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 29%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.00/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.50
-41% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
1-0
AWAY Le Havre
6 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town edged past Le Havre 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ipswich Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 6-3.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Le Havre?

Ipswich Town 1-0 Le Havre in the Friendlies on 04/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 50%, draw 22%, Le Havre 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ipswich Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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