Newport County 1-4 Roma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Aug 2026

📅04/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
65%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.38
2-3 Goals
41%
2.1
4-5 Goals
26%
2.4
6+ Goals
15%
4.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
+11.8pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.8pp
65%
Away Win
84%
-19.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport County EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +21%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
Crosses 13.8
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newport County
1-4
AWAY Roma
0.48 xG 0.26
5 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
67 Passes 199
10 Box Touches 14
6 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Newport County vs Roma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma swept aside Newport County 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 5-3, expected goals 0.48 to 0.26.

What was the final score of Newport County vs Roma?

Newport County 1-4 Roma in the Friendlies on 04/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport County vs Roma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Newport County 17%, draw 18%, Roma 65%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma) ✓ Over 2.5
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