Çad 1-1 Gana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 4 Sep 2025

Çad
1-1 HT 0-1
Gana
📅04/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
16.01
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
75%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.18
Over 2.5
39%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.6
No
68%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
2.85
6+ Goals
9%
8.64
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 34% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
27%
X/X
8%
2/1
2%
2/2
43%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
4%
+5.5pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.1pp
75%
Away Win
80%
-5.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
42%
+19.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
58%
-19.3pp
32%
BTTS Yes
34%
-2.3pp
68%
BTTS No
66%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çad EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Gana EU Bookmakers 84%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.00/2.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.95
-100% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -66%
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
186 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 539 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
18% Ball Possession 82%
0 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.03.2025 Gana Gana 5-0 HT 3-0 Çad Çad DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çad
1-1
AWAY Gana
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Çad vs Gana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çad and Gana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gana at 75% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

On the day, Çad had 29% of the ball to Gana's 71%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Çad vs Gana?

Çad 1-1 Gana in the World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çad vs Gana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gana win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Çad 9%, draw 16%, Gana 75%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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