Angola 0-1 Libya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 4 Sep 2025

Angola
0-1 HT 0-0
Libya
📅04/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
58%
+5.6pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.9pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.2pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angola EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Libya EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.58/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.00
+50% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +55%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 10.0
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angola
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Libya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
0 Passes 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
20.03.2025 Libya Libya 1-1 HT 0-0 Angola Angola DKE
16.11.2021 Libya Libya 1-1 HT 0-0 Angola Angola DKE
07.09.2021 Angola Angola 0-1 HT 0-1 Libya Libya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angola
0-1
AWAY Libya
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Angola vs Libya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libya squeezed past Angola 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Angola carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Angola had 66% of the ball to Libya's 34%, shots finished 14-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Libya led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Angola and 1.00 for Libya.

What was the final score of Angola vs Libya?

Angola 0-1 Libya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angola vs Libya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Angola win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Angola 63%, draw 20%, Libya 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Angola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Angola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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