Madagaskar 2-0 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 4 Sep 2025

📅04/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madagaskar EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -58%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madagaskar
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.08 xG 1.31
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
158 Passes 98
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2025 Madagaskar Madagaskar 2-0 HT 0-0 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti AUŞ
19.03.2025 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 1-4 HT 1-2 Madagaskar Madagaskar DKE
27.03.2023 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 2-0 HT 1-0 Madagaskar Madagaskar AFUK
23.03.2023 Madagaskar Madagaskar 0-3 HT 0-2 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti AFUK
POST-MATCH Madagaskar vs Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madagaskar got the better of Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Madagaskar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Madagaskar and 1.50 for Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti.

What was the final score of Madagaskar vs Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti?

Madagaskar 2-0 Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti in the World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madagaskar vs Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madagaskar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Madagaskar 48%, draw 28%, Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madagaskar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Madagaskar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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